USD/CNY Analysis March 21, 2023

USD/CNY Analysis March 21, 2023
Create at 1 year ago (Mar 21, 2023 14:48)

The Chinese yuan continues to be under pressure.

US President Joe Biden has proposed a record-high budget of $8.86 trillion for fiscal year 2025, which represents a 3.3% increase from the previous year, as the US government prioritizes China as its top challenge and seeks to bolster measures in the Indo-Pacific region.


Kyodo News reported that the Biden administration plans to spend a total of $6.88 trillion, an 8% increase from the previous government budget for the fiscal year beginning October 1, 2022. At the same time, the administration pledges to reduce the budget deficit by approximately $3 trillion over the next decade through increased taxes on high-income earners and corporations.


Biden has stated that the increased budget will be used to promote comprehensive deterrence in the Indo-Pacific region and beyond, along with partnerships and equity participation.


Meanwhile, the United States' Department of Defense has requested a budget of $842 billion for the upcoming fiscal year, which is a 3.2% increase from the approved level in 2022, with $91 billion allocated to various projects aimed at enhancing the country's military capabilities in the region.


On the other hand, Xi Jinping is consolidating his power over China's government and economy. Members of the National People's Congress (NPC) have gathered in Beijing to pass laws and key policies aimed at reforming the country's legal system. During the meeting, China announced that it would lower its economic growth target to around 5% this year, while increasing its defense budget by around 7% to $225 billion, or approximately 7.75 trillion baht. However, compared to the United States' budget, China's defense spending is still much lower, with the US spending over four times as much on defense.

Technical analysis data (5H)

Resistance : 6.8815, 6.8851, 6.8883
 
Support : 6.8747, 6.8715, 6.8679
 
USD/CNY Analysis today
Source: Investing.com
 
Pivot Points March 21, 2023 02:02 PM GMT+7
 
Name S3 S2 S1 Pivot Points R1 R2 R3
Classic 6.8633 6.8688 6.8742 6.8797 6.8851 6.8906 6.8960
Fibonacci 6.8688 6.8730 6.8755 6.8797 6.8839 6.8864 6.8906
Camarilla 6.8765 6.8775 6.8785 6.8797 6.8805 6.8815 6.8825
Woodie's 6.8631 6.8687 6.8740 6.8796 6.8849 6.8905 6.8958
DeMark's - - 6.8769 6.8811 6.8878 - -
 
Buy/Long 1 If the price touches the support level in the price range of 6.8715-6.8747, but cannot break the support level at 6.8747, you may set the take profit (TP) at around 6.8851 and the stop loss (SL) at around 6.8679 or based on your acceptable risk.
 
Buy/Long 2 If you can break the resistance level in the price range of 6.8815-6.8851, you may set the TP at around 6.8883 and the SL at around 6.8715 or based on your acceptable risk.
 
Sell/Short 1 If the price touches the resistance level in the price range of 6.8815-6.8851, but cannot break the resistance level at 6.8815, you may set the TP at around 6.8715 and the SL at around 6.8883 or based on your acceptable risk.
 
Sell/Short 2 If you can break the support level in the price range of 6.8715-6.8747, you may set the TP at around 6.8679 and the SL at around 6.8851 or based on your acceptable risk.
 
Technical Indicators March 21, 2023 02:02 PM GMT+7
 
Name Value Action
RSI(14) 42.918 Sell
STOCH(9,6) 29.908 Sell
STOCHRSI(14) 41.511 Sell
MACD(12,26) -0.008 Sell
ADX(14) 36.204 Sell
Williams %R -65.121 Sell
CCI(14) -91.2056 Sell
ATR(14) 0.0107 Less Volatility
Highs/Lows(14) -0.0029 Sell
Ultimate Oscillator 41.198 Sell
ROC -0.315 Sell
Bull/Bear Power(13) -0.0100 Sell

Buy:0

Sell:11

Neutral:0

Summary:Strong Sell

Source: Investing, Infoquest, BBC

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