USD/CNY Analysis April 3, 2023

USD/CNY Analysis April 3, 2023
Create at 1 year ago (Apr 03, 2023 13:00)

The Chinese economy is still struggling to recover.

China's manufacturing sector slowed slightly in March, falling slightly below expectations amid growing flexibility in the country's policy of opening up at the beginning of the year. However, the numbers for the service sector exceeded expectations and reached their highest level in nearly 12 years as the service sector continued to benefit from the pent-up demand and government measures to boost domestic spending.


China's manufacturing PMI index increased to 51.9 in March, higher than the estimated 51.5 but lower than the February reading of 52.6. This number indicates a slowdown after the manufacturing sector expanded rapidly in February.


On the other hand, the service sector's numbers were much better, with China's non-manufacturing PMI index at 58.2 in March significantly higher than the expected 54.3 and the previous reading of 56.3. This resulted in China's Composite PMI increasing to 57 in March, higher than the February reading of 56.4 and remaining at its highest level in 10 years.


The report on Friday echoed the latest comments from Premier Li Keqiang, who said that the economy improved in March after a relatively sluggish start to the year. However, data on Friday showed that the recovery of China's economy has shifted largely towards the services sector while the crucial manufacturing sector still lags behind. Premier Li said that the government will continue to carry out measures to boost local consumption and support economic growth, which is expected to increase demand for services in the near future.


However, the manufacturing sector still faces headwinds for China's export products due to high interest rates and inflation that have slowed global economic growth. Although local businesses received a boost from the relaxation of COVID-19 restrictions earlier this year, factories in the country still produce lower output than their total production capacity.


Meanwhile, the Chinese government is supporting local consumption and infrastructure spending to boost economic recovery this year. While the government expects GDP to grow by 5% in 2023, analysts are increasingly confident in China's recovery with Goldman Sachs forecasting a 6% growth in China's economy this year.

Technical analysis data (5H)

Resistance: 6.9002, 6.9104, 6.9260
 
Support: 6.8744, 6.8588, 6.8486
 
USD/CNY Analysis today
Source: Investing.com
 
Pivot Points April 3, 2023 00:34 PM GMT+7
 
Name S3 S2 S1 Pivot Points R1 R2 R3
Classic 6.8486 6.8588 6.8744 6.8846 6.9002 6.9104 6.9260
Fibonacci 6.8588 6.8687 6.8747 6.8846 6.8945 6.9005 6.9104
Camarilla 6.8830 6.8854 6.8877 6.8846 6.8925 6.8948 6.8972
Woodie's 6.8514 6.8602 6.8772 6.8860 6.9030 6.9118 6.9288
DeMark's - - 6.8795 6.8872 6.9054 - -
 

Buy/Long 1: If the price touches the support level in the range of 6.8588 - 6.8744 but fails to break the support at 6.8744, a trader may consider setting a take profit (TP) level around 6.9104 and a stop loss (SL) level around 6.8486, or based on their acceptable level of risk.


Buy/Long 2: If the price successfully breaks the resistance level in the range of 6.9002 - 6.9104, a trader may consider setting a TP level around 6.9260 and an SL level around 6.8588, or based on their acceptable level of risk.


Sell/Short 1: If the price touches the resistance level in the range of 6.9002 - 6.9104 but fails to break the resistance at 6.9002, a trader may consider setting a TP level around 6.8588 and an SL level around 6.9260, or based on their acceptable level of risk.


Sell/Short 2: If the price successfully breaks the support level in the range of 6.8588 - 6.8744, a trader may consider setting a TP level around 6.8486 and an SL level around 6.9104, or based on their acceptable level of risk.

 
Technical Indicators April 3, 2023 00:34 PM GMT+7

Name Value Action
RSI(14) 58.670 Buy
STOCH(9,6) 58.519 Buy
STOCHRSI(14) 100.000 Overbought
MACD(12,26) 0.001 Buy
ADX(14) 26.558 Buy
Williams %R -28.250 Buy
CCI(14) 107.1304 Buy
ATR(14) 0.0100 High Volatility
Highs/Lows(14) 0.0090 Buy
Ultimate Oscillator 61.048 Buy
ROC 0.042 Buy
Bull/Bear Power(13) 0.0263 Buy

Buy:10

Sell:0

Neutral:0

Summary:Strong Buy

 
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