Bitcoin Analysis April 4, 2023

Bitcoin Analysis April 4, 2023
Create at 1 year ago (Apr 04, 2023 15:03)

Bitcoin remains strong

After attempting to break through the critical resistance level of $29,000 in late March, Bitcoin experienced a downward trend and reached a price level of $27,000 shortly after reaching $29,000. 

Recent news cannot be separated from the OPEC+ group, which has reduced oil production levels even more than before. This is considered another key factor that has caused investors to worry about the possibility of inflation and the need to further adjust interest rates if the US inflation rate has not shown signs of decreasing.

However, in the past week there has been widespread talk among Bitcoin miners about the upcoming Bitcoin halving event, in which the reward for Bitcoin mining will be reduced by half. Based on past statistics, it is predicted that there will be less than 400 days left before the reduction occurs.

The Bitcoin system operates on the Proof-of-Work principle, which means that the person who has the right to verify the new data set to be added to the blockchain must prove themselves through physical work. In the case of Bitcoin, this is proven by users in the network competing against each other to use computers to solve mathematical equations in exchange for the right to verify transactions. This process is called "mining."

Currently, the Bitcoin network rewards miners with 6.25 coins per block which translates to approximately $177,000 USD per block. The most recent halving occurred on May 11, 2020 reducing the reward from 12.5 to 6.25 coins per block. The next halving is expected to occur in March 2024 which will reduce the reward to 3.125 coins per block. This means that there will need to be twice as much mining to maintain the same number of coins, which strengthens the overall Bitcoin network structure.

The fact that the Bitcoin mining reward decreases every four years means that there will be fewer new coins entering the market or circulating supply, resulting in a scarcity or supply constraint. Additionally, the maximum number of Bitcoins that can be created is 21 million, and as of now, approximately 19 million Bitcoins have been mined. This scarcity and limited supply have caused a price surge in the market.

From such market conditions, current market cap of the cryptocurrency market has decreased by 2.44% to $1.16 trillion but trading volume has increased by 5.89% to $327 billion USD.

Technical analysis data (5H)

Resistance: 28004.6, 28113.3, 28269.6
 
Support: 27739.6, 27583.3, 27474.6
 
Bitcoin Analysis todaySource: Investing.com
 
Pivot Points April 4, 2023 02:38 PM GMT+7
 
Name S3 S2 S1 Pivot Points R1 R2 R3
Classic 27474.6 27583.3 27739.6 27848.3 28004.6 28113.3 28269.6
Fibonacci 27583.3 27684.5 27747.1 27848.3 27949.5 28012.1 28113.3
Camarilla 27823.1 27847.4 27871.7 27848.3 27920.3 27944.6 27968.9
Woodie's 27498.4 27595.2 27763.4 27860.2 28028.4 28125.2 28293.4
DeMark's - - 27794.0 27875.5 28059.0 - -
 
Buy/Long 1: If there is a touch of the support zone around the price range of 27583.3 - 27739.6 but it is not possible to break through the support level at 27739.6, one may set a Take Profit (TP) around 28113.3 and a Stop Loss (SL) around 27474.6 or based on the acceptable level of risk.
 
Buy/Long 2: If it is possible to break through the resistance zone around the price range of 28004.6 - 28113.3, one may set a TP around 28269.6 and a SL around 27583.3 or based on the acceptable level of risk.
 
Sell/Short 1: If there is a touch of the resistance zone around the price range of 28004.6 - 28113.3 but it is not possible to break through the resistance level at 28004.6, one may set a TP around 27583.3 and a SL around 28269.6 or based on the acceptable level of risk.
 
Sell/Short 2: If it is possible to break through the support zone around the price range of 27583.3 - 27739.6, one may set a TP around 27474.6 and a SL around 28113.3 or based on the acceptable level of risk.
 
Technical Indicators April 4, 2023 02:38 PM GMT+7

Name Value Action
RSI(14) 48.720 Neutral
STOCH(9,6) 97.286 Overbought
STOCHRSI(14) 47.029 Neutral
MACD(12,26) -11.700 Sell
ADX(14) 37.262 Sell
Williams %R -2.935 Overbought
CCI(14) -54.9560 Sell
ATR(14) 382.4286 Less Volatility
Highs/Lows(14) 0.0000 Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator 53.276 Buy
ROC -1.362 Sell
Bull/Bear Power(13) -150.7160 Sell

Buy:1

Sell:5

Neutral:3

Summary:Sell

 
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