USD/CNY Analysis April 11, 2023

USD/CNY Analysis April 11, 2023
Create at 1 year ago (Apr 11, 2023 17:36)

China's economy remains to be closely monitored.

The dollar is strongly supported by the increasing returns of US government bonds. This is due to speculation that the US central bank will raise interest rates once again, as indicated by recent data showing consistent strength in the labor market and easing stress in the banking system. Additionally, the US economy created 236,000 jobs in March and the unemployment rate decreased to 3.5%.


The US Department of Labor reported on Friday that nonfarm payrolls rose by 236,000 jobs in March, which was close to the projected estimate of 239,000 jobs. The department also revised upward the numbers for February, stating that nonfarm payrolls increased by 326,000 jobs up from the previously reported 311,000 jobs. The unemployment rate dropped from 3.6% in February to 3.5% in March nearing the lowest point in over 50 years.


The average hourly wage increased by 0.3% in March compared to the previous month, after a 0.2% increase in February. The average hourly wage on an annual basis increased by 4.2% in March after a 4.6% increase in February. Despite strong non-farm hiring in the United States hiring in some sectors has declined particularly in the manufacturing sector which saw a decrease of about 1,000 positions in March, the second consecutive month of decline. Hiring in the construction sector decreased by 9,000 positions and hiring in the retail sector decreased by 14,600 positions.


This week, China will release its report on lending and inflation for the month of March. The number of new loans in China has increased more than expected and is higher than expected while the CPI is at 0.7% lower than expected. China will also release GDP and economic activity data for the first quarter next week which investors believe may provide a better overall picture of China's economy.


In addition to the above announcement, China increased its foreign currency reserves from $51,000 billion to $3,184 billion in March compared to analysts' expectations of $3,149 billion and up from $3,133 billion in February. China holds the largest foreign currency reserves in the world.


In addition to the increased foreign currency reserves, China also held 66.50 million troy ounces of gold at the end of March up from 65.92 million troy ounces at the end of February. The value of China's gold reserves increased to $1.3165 trillion at the end of March up from $1.2028 trillion at the end of February.

Technical analysis data (5H)

Resistance: 6.8876, 6.8894, 6.8919
 
Support: 6.8833, 6.8808, 6.8790
 
USD/CNY Analysis todaySource: Investing.com
 
Pivot Points April 11, 2023 05:15 PM GMT+7
 
Name S3 S2 S1 Pivot Points R1 R2 R3
Classic 6.8790 6.8808 6.8833 6.8851 6.8876 6.8894 6.8919
Fibonacci 6.8808 6.8824 6.8835 6.8851 6.8867 6.8878 6.8894
Camarilla 6.8847 6.8851 6.8855 6.8851 6.8863 6.8867 6.8871
Woodie's 6.8794 6.8810 6.8837 6.8853 6.8880 6.8896 6.8923
DeMark's - - 6.8843 6.8856 6.8886 - -

 

Buy/Long 1: If there is a touch of support levels in the price range of 6.8808 - 6.8833 but unable to break the support level at 6.8833, a TP can be set at around 6.8894 and SL at around 6.8790, or according to the acceptable risk.

 

Buy/Long 2: If it is possible to break the resistance level in the price range of 6.8876 - 6.8894, a TP can be set at around 6.8919 and SL at around 6.8808, or according to the acceptable risk.

 

Sell/Short 1: If there is a touch of resistance levels in the price range of 6.8876 - 6.8894 but unable to break the resistance level at 6.8876, a TP can be set at around 6.8808 and SL at around 6.8919, or according to the acceptable risk.


Sell/Short 2: If it is possible to break the support level in the price range of 6.8808 - 6.8833, a TP can be set at around 6.8790 and SL at around 6.8894, or according to the acceptable risk.

 
Technical Indicators April 11, 2023 05:15 PM GMT+7
 
Name Value Action
RSI(14) 60.825 Buy
STOCH(9,6) 64.455 Buy
STOCHRSI(14) 100.000 Overbought
MACD(12,26) 0.002 Buy
ADX(14) 39.899 Buy
Williams %R -22.569 Buy
CCI(14) 132.1214 Buy
ATR(14) 0.0044 High Volatility
Highs/Lows(14) 0.0063 Buy
Ultimate Oscillator 60.588 Buy
ROC 0.148 Buy
Bull/Bear Power(13) 0.0081 Buy

Buy:10

Sell:0

Neutral:0

Summary:Strong Buy

 
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